It’s going to be a close call on tomorrow/Tuesday and Wednesday/Thursday storm systems. The models are agreeing much more on the overall pattern at the jet stream level but still are having a spirited discussion on the details of the surface low pressure and associated snowfall across Upstate NY. If you are a fan of

Everyone please remain calm. It’s December. It snows. I know it hasn’t snowed much yet this winter and we are all waiting for it now more than usual. Thoughts about what’s out there so far followed by my current analysis… First of all there is definite potential, no doubt. And the GFS is trending more

This is not a big snowfall by December standards by any means. But it’s 2020 and it’s a mild winter to start and looking that way in the long term… so minor snow events like this, which would be lost in the noise of a big snow and cold winter, get more attention and tend

Well we actually have some snow to talk about this week. Wednesday is the day as a clipper system swings through. As you can see from the map, some lake response is indicated. By December standards it won’t be anything out of the ordinary. Most should see a dusting to an inch or two. There

Swing and a miss! No goal! Wide right! Missed the dunk! Whatever sports analogy you wish to use… it applies. Not going to happen for Upstate NY. Between borderline temps tomorrow and a track models continue to nudge east, even the Hudson Valley and points east to the border should stay under an inch or

There is still a high degree of uncertainty with the weekend coastal storm. I know usually you come to expect at least a first call snow map now that we are 60-84 hours of the storm. There will be none today. We will attempt first call numbers in tomorrow morning’s blog. Why is this forecast more

Just because the Euro says “yahtzee” four days out does not mean it’s a lock. Yes, you should be on alert for a POTENTIAL snowstorm of the Nor’easter variety this weekend, BUT key word is POTENTIAL. I’m not sold on it yet and I will go into why below. Yes we are snow lovers and

For snowbelt areas of WNY it’s GAME ON with Winter Storm Warnings up for southern Erie, Chautauqua and Cattaraugus. For the immediate Buffalo/Niagara and Rochester areas, there will be some snow around tomorrow and Wednesday but with marginal temps and a NW wind flow kicking in, it’s not the best direction for lake snows and

Quick morning blog update before heading to church. There will be no snowmap today but there will be one tomorrow for the snows developing across Upstate NY starting Tuesday AM in WNY, spreading into CNY and the Tug Hill Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning, then through the day Wednesday across WNY, CNY, the Tug Hill