Well, I have had so many late season snowfall maps over the last several years. From 2019-20 to now I seem to have way more spring snowfall maps than fall snowfall maps. Especially April and May snowfall maps. Not this time and not this year! Although the amounts are very small (no more than a trace over a good part of Upstate NY), this is a reminder it is mid-October. Cold blasts that come down into Upstate NY from this time of year onward DO have the potential to produce a little snow here or there. And here is ours. For 2024-25.
SYNOPSIS: Our storm system has moved on in. Plenty of showers with temperatures from the high 30s to low 40s. In the higher elevations, some mid 30s are being observed. We are not that far off of snow at this time. Seriously. We are not. And for the next 72 hours, we won’t be. Not so much tonight and into tomorrow morning. But Monday Night into Tuesday Morning and Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. Both of those periods would hold the best chance for us to see snow showers. That would be the best time to see the first flakes of the year!
Now for the immediate Buffalo, Rochester, Albany and Binghamton areas, I am thinking the temperatures will be just 1-2 degrees too much. Hence why they are left off. Same for the Capital Region and the Hudson Valley. But Utica/Rome/Syracuse and everything north of the Thruway looks good. I believe only a dusting for these areas and the hills south and west. In the Tug Hill and in the Adirondacks, the higher elevations, especially above 1500′, this is the zone where a 1/2 inch to 1″ or possibly 2″ may fall. Since most of the leaves are past peak here (50%+ fallen off the trees), we expect the total loss of foliage here in the next few days.
So after the next four days of highs in the 40s and lows near freezing, what could be next for us? A warming trend. We will be back into the 60s by next weekend. Any snow that does fall, enjoy it while you can. Even in the best of winters, October is not the time to start accumulating for the season. If you want to look at 2018-19 and 1995-96, both of those years, between Halloween and Veteran’s Day was about the earliest we started to get it going. Those two winters were about the earliest I have seen here in my lifetime. Others we has to wait until longer. We are much closer. And it is looking better now than it has in many years before. So get ready to BRAP! Sometime soon,
Rich Lupia
October 13, 2024
