Certainty and uncertainty. That’s todays theme. The amount of uncertainty with the Christmas Eve warmth and rain is still high. How much? How long? When? Those are critical to determining how much snow pack survives. Models are still inconsistent on this. If you believe the Canadian RGEM, it’s a wipeout. If you believe the NAM

The Grinch that could steal your White Christmas is en route, ready to turn Christmas Eve into a freaking mess across Upstate NY. The map shows the 10″ snowpack line as of this morning. It’s areas that have LESS than 10″ of snow pack that are most likely to lose their snowpack Thursday. Based on

The big question after the big storm is: Will it stay around? I have some good news. I believe the answer to that question is YES. For areas that got less than 6 inches, it’s going to be tough going until we can get more snow events in here. Areas that got more than 6”,

The northern shift we were hoping and praying for is happening. I still expect the heaviest snow to be along and south of I-88 so Binghamton area, Catskills and areas of the Hudson Valley south of Albany will be the heaviest in Upstate NY. I think overall with the storm the Poconos are most likely

Our first snow map is out and is still subject to change tomorrow morning in the blog. We are now within 3 days and while comfortable enough to put our forecast out still have concern over the details and trends. I’m going to put the analysis for the snow map up front since I know these maps get shared a lot in storm situations and want to give those just looking for the bottom line, the bottom line.