The lake effect snows did get cranking into a heavy band last night and that’s why many across Upstate NY, even in the Capital Region, are waking up to “bonus snow”. Usually when winds get up into the 40-60 MPH range off Lake Ontario and you have some directional shear, the bands tend to look

A little snow, then a little wind will blow, then up and down weather the rest of the week. It’s not as bad as you think it is, it’s not as good as you think it is. Last week I thought things were looking great to setup starting this week, then it looked horrible like

Heavy lake effect snow will continue off Lake Erie into Saturday, then the big show moves to areas off Lake Ontario, mainly the northern half of Tug Hill and snowbelt areas to the north. We made some tweaks to amounts and bands based off the 3km NAM projections. Still holding the big accums basically where

The snow map we issued for when precip does change to snow (it already has in WNY as of this 1030 PM Christmas Eve writing), through tomorrow and Saturday into Sunday AM… I’m going to run with it and repost it at the bottom of this blog, however, I have deep concerns about folks on

Before the snow gets here, heavy rains and warm temps will take a bite out of our snowpack Christmas Eve. The models are not in 100% agreement but closer than they were and I’m comfortable enough to take a shot at some details. Please note: This forecast is very much subject to change. Timing of