OK… one more slightly revised map from yesterday.
The bottom line is this: Basically from I-81 and points east, from the North Country, Tug Hill, Adirondacks, Mohawk Valley, Capital Region, Hudson Valley, Catskills and the eastern Southern Tier, this is looking like a solid 1-3 inches. Closer to 3″ higher up. Closer to 1-2 inches down at the bottom of the valleys.
Where there change happened is in the Finger Lakes, western Southern Tier and Western NY. Here amounts were raised from 1-4 inches to 3-5 inches. Enough to where all of the Buffalo NWS has placed its area under Winter Weather Advisory through tomorrow morning. Enough to where there will be not just shoveling but some snow plowing for most areas.
BITTER COLD THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY
After that it turns brutally cold for a few days. Record cold? Nope Got to get to double digits below zero by this time of year to get records. We won’t be all that far off of them though. Saturday Night we generally get to +10 to -10. Sunday Night we generally get to +5 to -15. That is without the wind chill factor. That is just air temperature. Considering we only hit these temperature marks twice all last winter, and the fact that we can easily between now and early March go to -15 to -25 or worse, that is something to note.
CHRISTMAS EVE SNOW?
The last few model runs have shown this. It looks again minor, like a few inches at best. Nothing worth getting crazy over at this time. Most of it falls Christmas Eve in the morning and it is out of here by the afternoon on Christmas Eve. However, it’s what happens after this that concerns me.
CHRISTMAS TO NEW YEARS
This is a blow out. Blow torch. Well, not right away. On Christmas Day and the day after on the 26th we are above freezing, which puts us technically about 3-6 degrees above normal. It’s what happens afterwards, between December 27th and January 2, 2025 that has me scared that all the snow, even in the Tug Hill and Adirondacks goes bye bye and we are starting over again on January 2nd, which just happens to be the first day of snowmobile season for the entire state.
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Zack and Rich Lupia
Upstate Snow
December 20, 2024
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