We’ve got snow to talk about! It’s sad in January in these parts you get excited with 2″-5″ on the snowmap for Tug Hill and the Adirondacks… but at least the first half of the winter of 2019-20 is being defined this way… A hunting season that would have been glorious had it been snowmobile season (November to early December) followed by an actual snowmobile season that so far has gone from depressing to maddening.
Something is better than nothing.
Tuesday Night that storm sliding to our south… now… slides TOO FAR SOUTH. Ugh
We do get a consolation prize of a clipper and lake effect again on Wednesday
And by Thursday morning the cold comes in HUGE! Look at this!
It would be great if it would hold! A week ago the models indicated it would. Well… not so now.
IF YOU WANT TO RIDE ON ANYTHING DECENT FOR THE FORSEEABLE FUTURE, GET ON THE TRAILS AS MUCH AS YOU CAN, WHERE YOU CAN BETWEEN NOW AND THURSDAY 1/9. AFTER THAT, WE ARE ON THE SIDELINES INDEFINITELY…
The horror show for snow lovers, or Epic January Thaw for snow haters, commences Friday. Warm into the weekend too.
While it won’t be raining and 40s or 50s everyday, because it will cool down some early next week, it won’t last. By this middle of next week the blowtorch is back in full effect…
So where is all the cold air? Where is winter? What the heck is going on?
Basically from end of this week, through MLK weekend at least (and into the forseeable future on the extended models), It’s everywhere but Upstate, the Northeast US and even into Quebec. This will get bad enough to hurt even places like VT, NH, ME, southern Ontario and southern Quebec. The rest of the northern US and the rest of Canada meanwhile will be screaming for MERCY. LOOK AT THIS COLD PROJECTION…
All I can tell you is the three winters you are likely thinking of, 2001-02, 2011-12 or 2015-16, awful snowmobile years, the things happening in the atmosphere in those three winters are NOT happening this winter. You cannot write off the season when you have THIS kind of widespread BRUTAL cold air across Canada and the storminess across the country. It was not there at all in those three disastrous riding winters. We are in a rut with the pattern stuck against us, holding out hope at some point it will go for us.
I know as a Meteorologist me saying 1992-93, 2006-07, 2012-13 doesn’t mean much to you as the casual reader. These three winters were remembered well for the big finish where February and March were epic. I don’t offer it as false hope, because I have no clue at this point if our winter will ultimately end in this category with a Valentines Day 2007 or a Blizzard of 1993 in the on deck circle beyond the few week reach of the models and a true pattern change instead of this fake out. Or several storms together making a huge base like we had in February 93 or February 13.
You HAVE TO BELIEVE at some point that super cold air and storm track moves back into a more favorable position. I honestly can’t see it staying like this through March. Personally and professionally, I’ve never seen it. Everyone gets hit at some point.
But the bottom line is this: After Thursday, we’ll be riding on hope for at least a few weeks. You can pretty much toast next weekend, MLK Weekend for sure, possibly another after that. Right now, Super Bowl Weekend at least.
I’m just as mad and sad as you are. Trust me. But it is what it is.
